Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
MLB · May 05, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Pittsburgh Pirates LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Pittsburgh Pirates at 69% against FanDuel's implied 65% — an edge of +4.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Model
69%
Market
65%
Edge
+4.8 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
69.3%
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Model performance on Pittsburgh Pirates picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
22
W - L
14 - 8
Win rate
64%
Avg CLV
+4.3pt
ROI
+23.1%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.