Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros Recap

MLB · May 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Houston Astros LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Houston Astros at 50% against FanDuel's implied 48% — an edge of +2.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Houston Astros

Model 50%

Market 48%

Edge +2.6 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

50.2% —

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