Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros Recap
MLB · May 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Houston Astros LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Houston Astros at 50% against FanDuel's implied 48% — an edge of +2.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Houston Astros
Model
50%
Market
48%
Edge
+2.6 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
50.2%
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Model performance on Houston Astros picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
10
W - L
7 - 3
Win rate
70%
Avg CLV
+1.6pt
ROI
+49.4%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.