Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers Recap

MLB · May 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Detroit Tigers LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Detroit Tigers at 67% against FanDuel's implied 65% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Detroit Tigers

Model 67%

Market 65%

Edge +2.1 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

67.0% —

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.