Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies Recap

MLB · May 06, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Athletics LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Athletics at 65% against FanDuel's implied 58% — an edge of +6.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

Athletics

Model 65%

Market 58%

Edge +6.0 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

64.5% —

Model performance on Athletics picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks

W - L

14 - 21

Win rate

40%

Avg CLV

+3.6pt

ROI

-13.2%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.