San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Recap
MLB · May 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — San Francisco Giants WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 62% against FanDuel's implied 60% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
San Francisco Giants
Model
62%
Market
60%
Edge
+2.1 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
61.6%
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Model performance on San Francisco Giants picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
16
W - L
8 - 8
Win rate
50%
Avg CLV
+4.5pt
ROI
+0.3%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.