San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Recap
MLB · May 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — San Francisco Giants WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 62% against FanDuel's implied 60% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
San Francisco Giants
Model
62%
Market
60%
Edge
+2.1 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
61.6%
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