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Forecasts / MLB / May 05, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros Recap

MLB · May 05, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Houston Astros LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Houston Astros at 40% against FanDuel's implied 37% — an edge of +3.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Houston Astros
Model 40%
Market 37%
Edge +3.1 pts

Solid 3.1% edge at FanDuel (2.72). Elo agrees (-87 gap).

Other MLB games on May 05, 2026

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners
Atlanta Braves · model 71% · edge +7.0pt
LOSS
Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox · model 66% · edge +4.1pt
WIN
San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants · model 62% · edge +2.1pt
WIN
Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox · model 46% · edge +3.2pt
WIN
Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics · model 64% · edge +8.8pt
LOSS
How the model works → Model health audit → Recent MLB misses → All MLB forecasts →

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