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Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers Recap

MLB · May 05, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Boston Red Sox WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Boston Red Sox at 46% against FanDuel's implied 43% — an edge of +3.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play
Boston Red Sox
Model 46%
Market 43%
Edge +3.2 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
46.3%

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