Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays Recap
MLB · May 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Tampa Bay Rays LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Tampa Bay Rays at 57% against FanDuel's implied 55% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Tampa Bay Rays
Model
57%
Market
55%
Edge
+2.1 pts
Solid 2.1% edge at FanDuel (1.83). Elo agrees (+67 gap).
Model performance on Tampa Bay Rays picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
27
W - L
16 - 8
Win rate
67%
Avg CLV
+5.3pt
ROI
+21.4%
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