Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers Recap
MLB · May 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Boston Red Sox WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Boston Red Sox at 64% against FanDuel's implied 56% — an edge of +7.7pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Boston Red Sox
Model
64%
Market
56%
Edge
+7.7 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
64.2%
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