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Forecasts / MLB / May 04, 2026

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Recap

MLB · May 04, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — Baltimore Orioles LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Baltimore Orioles at 38% against FanDuel's implied 36% — an edge of +2.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
Baltimore Orioles
Model 38%
Market 36%
Edge +2.1 pts

Solid 2.1% edge at FanDuel (2.80). Elo agrees (-95 gap).

Other MLB games on May 04, 2026

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox · model 64% · edge +7.7pt
WIN
New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies · model 69% · edge +12.1pt
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds · model 56% · edge +4.4pt
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals · model 53% · edge +2.2pt
WIN
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians · model 68% · edge +2.3pt
LOSS
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