Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners Recap
MLB · May 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Seattle Mariners LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Seattle Mariners at 45% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +5.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Seattle Mariners
Model
45%
Market
40%
Edge
+5.4 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
45.4%
—
Model performance on Seattle Mariners picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
17
W - L
4 - 13
Win rate
24%
Avg CLV
+4.3pt
ROI
-28.7%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.