Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners Recap
MLB · May 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Seattle Mariners LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Seattle Mariners at 45% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +5.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Seattle Mariners
Model
45%
Market
40%
Edge
+5.4 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
45.4%
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