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Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres Recap

MLB · May 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — San Diego Padres LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Diego Padres at 62% against FanDuel's implied 60% — an edge of +2.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
San Diego Padres
Model 62%
Market 60%
Edge +2.9 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
62.4% —

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