Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres Recap

MLB · May 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — San Diego Padres LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Diego Padres at 62% against FanDuel's implied 60% — an edge of +2.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play

San Diego Padres

Model 62%

Market 60%

Edge +2.9 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

62.4% —

Model performance on San Diego Padres picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks

W - L

12 - 20

Win rate

38%

Avg CLV

+5.2pt

ROI

-38.3%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.