San Francisco Giants @ Tampa Bay Rays Recap

MLB · May 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

LOSS

This one missed — San Francisco Giants LOSS.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked San Francisco Giants at 48% against FanDuel's implied 45% — an edge of +2.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play

San Francisco Giants

Model 48%

Market 45%

Edge +2.6 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

48.0% —

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