Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox Recap
MLB · May 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Boston Red Sox WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Boston Red Sox at 74% against FanDuel's implied 66% — an edge of +8.6pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Boston Red Sox
Model
74%
Market
66%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Model gives 74.3% vs FanDuel's implied 65.8%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
74.4%
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