Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates Recap
MLB · May 01, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Pittsburgh Pirates WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Pittsburgh Pirates at 60% against FanDuel's implied 55% — an edge of +4.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Model
60%
Market
55%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Solid 4.5% edge at FanDuel (1.81). Elo agrees (-47 gap).
Model performance on Pittsburgh Pirates picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
15
W - L
6 - 9
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+6.5pt
ROI
-52.9%
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