Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins Recap

MLB · April 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Minnesota Twins WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Minnesota Twins at 49% against FanDuel's implied 47% — an edge of +2.0pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play

Minnesota Twins

Model 49%

Market 47%

Edge +2.0 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

48.7% —

Model performance on Minnesota Twins picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks

W - L

8 - 16

Win rate

33%

Avg CLV

+2.9pt

ROI

-27.0%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.