Kansas City Royals @ Athletics Recap
MLB · April 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Athletics WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Athletics at 63% against FanDuel's implied 55% — an edge of +7.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Athletics
Model
63%
Market
55%
Edge
+7.8 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
62.8%
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Model performance on Athletics picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
35
W - L
14 - 21
Win rate
40%
Avg CLV
+3.6pt
ROI
-13.2%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.