Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles Recap
MLB · April 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Baltimore Orioles WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Baltimore Orioles at 57% against FanDuel's implied 39% — an edge of +17.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Baltimore Orioles
Model
57%
Market
39%
Edge
+17.9 pts
Model gives 57.1% vs FanDuel's implied 39.2%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
57.1%
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