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Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds Recap

MLB · April 29, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Colorado Rockies WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Colorado Rockies at 46% against FanDuel's implied 43% — an edge of +2.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play
Colorado Rockies
Model 46%
Market 43%
Edge +2.8 pts

Solid 2.8% edge at FanDuel (2.30). Elo agrees (-78 gap).

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability
46.3%

Model performance on Colorado Rockies picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
37
W - L
15 - 20
Win rate
43%
Avg CLV
+6.1pt
ROI
-17.9%

Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.