Washington Nationals @ New York Mets Recap
MLB · April 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Washington Nationals LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Washington Nationals at 63% against FanDuel's implied 58% — an edge of +5.3pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Washington Nationals
Model
63%
Market
58%
Edge
+5.3 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
63.4%
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Model performance on Washington Nationals picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
39
W - L
17 - 22
Win rate
44%
Avg CLV
+3.4pt
ROI
-17.4%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.