St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Recap
MLB · April 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Pittsburgh Pirates LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Pittsburgh Pirates at 59% against FanDuel's implied 43% — an edge of +15.9pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Model
59%
Market
43%
Edge
+15.9 pts
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Final model probability
59.0%
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Model performance on Pittsburgh Pirates picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
22
W - L
14 - 8
Win rate
64%
Avg CLV
+4.3pt
ROI
+23.1%
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.