Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves Recap
MLB · April 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Atlanta Braves WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Atlanta Braves at 58% against FanDuel's implied 55% — an edge of +3.1pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Atlanta Braves
Model
58%
Market
55%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Solid 3.1% edge at FanDuel (1.81). Elo agrees (+69 gap). Injury adj: -4.2% for Atlanta Braves (Spencer Strider, Sean Murphy), +4.8% from opp (Josue Briceno, Connor Seabold).
Model performance on Atlanta Braves picks (60d)
How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.
Picks
20
W - L
12 - 8
Win rate
60%
Avg CLV
+4.8pt
ROI
+258.9%
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