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St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

MLB · April 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — St. Louis Cardinals WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked St. Louis Cardinals at 50% against FanDuel's implied 48% — an edge of +2.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play
St. Louis Cardinals
Model 50%
Market 48%
Edge +2.8 pts

Solid 2.7% edge at FanDuel (2.10). Injury adj: -2.7% for St. Louis Cardinals (Hunter Dobbins, Pedro Pages), +1.7% from opp (Braxton Ashcraft, Jared Triolo).

Model performance on St. Louis Cardinals picks (60d)

How this side has graded in the journal over the last 60 days. Small slice — context, not a guarantee.

Picks
25
W - L
14 - 5
Win rate
74%
Avg CLV
+2.0pt
ROI
+19.1%

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