Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Recap

MLB · April 27, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.

WIN

Model called it — Boston Red Sox WIN.

Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Boston Red Sox at 48% against FanDuel's implied 46% — an edge of +2.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.

Small Play Dog play

Boston Red Sox

Model 48%

Market 46%

Edge +2.4 pts

How the model got here

Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.

Final model probability

48.2% —

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