Alexander Zverev @ Flavio Cobolli Recap
Roland-Garros (M) · June 07, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Flavio Cobolli LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Flavio Cobolli at 29% against FanDuel's implied 26% — an edge of +2.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +9.6pp · closed at 5.23 (19.1%)
Solid 2.4% edge at FanDuel (3.80).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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