Alexander Zverev @ Jakub Mensik Recap
Roland-Garros (M) · June 05, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Jakub Mensik LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Jakub Mensik at 29% against FanDuel's implied 27% — an edge of +2.4pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +5.5pp · closed at 4.18 (23.9%)
Solid 2.4% edge at FanDuel (3.70).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
Sports betting involves risk. Past model performance is no guarantee of future results. If gambling is a problem for you, call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or visit ncpgambling.org for help.