Learner Tien @ Flavio Cobolli Recap
Roland-Garros (M) · May 30, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Learner Tien LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Learner Tien at 43% against FanDuel's implied 40% — an edge of +3.5pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +2.9pp · closed at 2.48 (40.3%)
Solid 3.5% edge at FanDuel (2.52).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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