Jesper De Jong @ Karen Khachanov Recap
Roland-Garros (M) · May 29, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
Model called it — Jesper De Jong WIN.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Jesper De Jong at 31% against FanDuel's implied 29% — an edge of +2.2pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +2.8pp · closed at 3.52 (28.4%)
Solid 2.2% edge at FanDuel (3.45).
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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