Roman Andres Burruchaga @ Felix Auger-Aliassime Recap
Roland-Garros (M) · May 28, 2026 · Pre-game prediction preserved, outcome auto-graded against ESPN.
This one missed — Roman Andres Burruchaga LOSS.
Pre-game, the Lakeshore Edge model picked Roman Andres Burruchaga at 45% against FanDuel's implied 27% — an edge of +17.8pt. The full reasoning is preserved below for audit.
Closing-line value vs Pinnacle: +15.7pp · closed at 3.43 (29.1%)
Model gives 44.9% vs FanDuel's implied 27.0%. No team-rating data — verify before sizing up.
How the model got here
Each row is a stage in the probability calculation. The bar is the probability at that stage; the delta on the right is the shift from the previous stage.
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